Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.217664 0.301015 0.394291 0.504297 0.628625 0.763197 0.918381
2025-10-26 0.120467 0.228596 0.366620 0.544926 0.760682 1.006621 1.302235
2025-11-02 0.066337 0.175507 0.332681 0.550290 0.825965 1.150372 1.549710
2025-11-09 0.024119 0.116059 0.274300 0.512593 0.829879 1.215454 1.701089
2025-11-16 0.003794 0.070231 0.220077 0.468583 0.816571 1.252454 1.812862
2025-11-23 NaN 0.046077 0.191537 0.454363 0.837300 1.327799 1.967700
2025-11-30 NaN 0.034069 0.180754 0.463940 0.888167 1.439734 2.166168
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021755 0.162957 0.459062 0.916909 1.521994 2.327043
2025-12-14 NaN 0.010624 0.138987 0.439637 0.922373 1.572314 2.446828
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009133 0.144499 0.471879 1.002841 1.721152 2.690426
2025-12-28 NaN 0.007982 0.150573 0.505008 1.084648 1.871892 2.936649
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005710 0.149806 0.524865 1.146510 1.996082 3.149355
2026-01-11 NaN 0.005819 0.162109 0.572042 1.252964 2.184477 3.449723
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004962 0.168751 0.608854 1.344809 2.354700 3.728860
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002411 0.160850 0.616263 1.391505 2.463875 3.929836
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000016 0.131067 0.575775 1.362856 2.470175 3.998538
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.101551 0.529038 1.320861 2.455926 4.038946
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.087634 0.513845 1.327104 2.506583 4.162002
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.084458 0.524067 1.374467 2.614297 4.359324
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.075830 0.518864 1.395754 2.685216 4.508389
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.062563 0.498133 1.389792 2.717051 4.605689
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.068468 0.532528 1.477712 2.882111 4.878644
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.074685 0.567800 1.567174 3.049450 5.154738